Ping An Securities: It is estimated that the overall net profit growth rate of listed banks will be 1% in 2025. Ping An Securities released the annual strategy report of the banking industry in 2025, saying that looking forward to 2025, the insufficient effective demand and the continuous pressure on asset-side pricing level are still important factors restricting the upward flexibility of bank profits. On the one hand, the inhibitory effect of insufficient effective demand on scale growth still exists, and it is estimated that the scale of new credit will be 17.9 trillion to 19.2 trillion yuan in 2025, corresponding to the year-end growth rate of 7.0%-7. On the other hand, the level of interest margin is also subject to the downward trend of asset-side pricing level, and factors such as LPR reduction, stock mortgage adjustment and implicit bond swap will continue to impact asset-side pricing. However, considering the acceleration of the reduction of deposit listing interest rate, the improvement of deposit repricing progress, and the supervision of manual interest payment and interbank liabilities, it is expected that the decline of interest margin will be slightly narrowed in 2025. In terms of asset quality, it is expected to remain stable, the policy will continue to exert its efforts to bottom out risks, the core indicators are expected to remain stable, and the provision is expected to continue to feed back the profit level. On the whole, it is estimated that the overall net profit growth rate of listed banks will be 1.0% in 2025. The idea of stock selection is "high dividend+pro-cyclical", and policy combination boxing promotes the repair of plate valuation.Japan's final industrial output value in October increased by 2.8% month-on-month and 1.4% year-on-year.Morgan Stanley Xing Ziqiang: China can fully withstand the improvement of the central financial deficit ratio. On December 13th, Xing Ziqiang, chief economist of Morgan Stanley China, said at the "Caijing Annual Meeting 2025: Forecast and Strategy" and the 2024 Global Wealth Management Forum that the Central Economic Work Conference broke the previous mindset of fiscal prudence. It is predicted that the budget of deficit ratio will reach a higher level next year, and may even exceed the level of 2020 (above 3.6%). With China's relatively strong national balance sheet, it can fully withstand the relatively high deficit ratio of the central government. Most other countries in the world have abandoned the so-called deficit ratio constraint of around 3% after facing the downturn of the real estate market and other factors.
This year, the domestic game market sales revenue and game users have reached record highs. At the 2024 China Game Industry Annual Conference, Zhang Yijun, the first vice chairman of China Audio-visual and Digital Publishing Association and chairman of the Game Working Committee, released the 2024 China Game Industry Report. According to the report, in 2024, the actual sales revenue of the domestic game market was 325.783 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.53%, reaching a new high; There are 674 million domestic game users, up 0.94% year-on-year, which is also a new high point in history. In 2024, the actual sales revenue of China's self-developed games in overseas markets was 18.557 billion US dollars, up 13.39% year-on-year, and its scale has exceeded 100 billion yuan for five consecutive years, reaching a new high. (The Paper)Bee Assistant: Preliminary negotiation with bean bag on smart devices. At present, the related products have not been launched to the market. Bee Assistant said on the interactive platform on December 13th that the company had preliminary negotiations with bean bag owned by ByteDance on smart devices, but the related products have not yet been launched to the market.Morgan Stanley Xing Ziqiang: China can fully withstand the improvement of the central financial deficit ratio. On December 13th, Xing Ziqiang, chief economist of Morgan Stanley China, said at the "Caijing Annual Meeting 2025: Forecast and Strategy" and the 2024 Global Wealth Management Forum that the Central Economic Work Conference broke the previous mindset of fiscal prudence. It is predicted that the budget of deficit ratio will reach a higher level next year, and may even exceed the level of 2020 (above 3.6%). With China's relatively strong national balance sheet, it can fully withstand the relatively high deficit ratio of the central government. Most other countries in the world have abandoned the so-called deficit ratio constraint of around 3% after facing the downturn of the real estate market and other factors.
Russia asked Ukraine to open a humanitarian passage in the Ukrainian-occupied area of Kursk. According to the Tass news agency, Russian Commissioner for Human Rights mosca Likova said in Minsk, the capital of Belarus, on the 12th that Russia had asked Ukraine to open a humanitarian passage for the civilians in the Ukrainian-occupied area of Kursk to evacuate to a safe area. Mosca Likova said that there are about 1,500 to 2,000 civilians in Uzhan District of Kursk State, who usually take refuge in destroyed houses or basements of houses.The turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets exceeded 1.5 trillion for the 11th consecutive trading day, nearly 70 billion more than yesterday.Hong Kong Securities Regulatory Commission: The quarterly loss from July to September narrowed sharply year-on-year, with a net inflow of 664.3 billion yuan from Hong Kong Stock Connect so far this year.
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide
12-13